When I retired last Summer, I figured all this was going to happen eventually. I saw the drawdown that followed Desert Storm and it was not pretty either. After 12 years of getting blank checks, the DOD is having a tough time realizing that their business model is not sustainable. I went with another agency for my GS career choice.
The furloughs that we will see to start FY13 will be to weed out those that are willing to leave on their own terms. Those that remain will experience the RIF. The more people that quit as result of furloughs, the fewer that have to be processed through a RIF.